A comprehensive methodology for treatment simulation and evaluation of dose coverage probabilities is presented where a population based statistical shape model (SSM) provide samples of fraction specific patient geometry deformations. The learning data consists of vector fields from deformable image registration of repeated imaging giving intra-patient deformations which are mapped to an average patient serving as a common frame of reference. The SSM is created by extracting the most dominating eigenmodes through principal component analysis of the deformations from all patients. The sampling of a deformation is thus reduced to sampling weights for enough of the most dominating eigenmodes that describe the deformations. For the cervical cancer patient datasets in this work, we found seven eigenmodes to be sufficient to capture 90% of the variance in the deformations of the, and only three eigenmodes for stability in the simulated dose coverage probabilities. The no...
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