Severe late damage to normal tissue is a major limitation of cancer radiotherapy in prostate cancer patients. In a recent retrospective study, late radiation toxicity was found to relate to a decreased decay of γ-H2AX foci and reduced induction of DNA double strand break repair genes. Here we report evidence of prognostic utility in prostate cancer for γ-H2AX foci decay ratios and gene expression profiles derived from ex vivo-irradiated patient lymphocytes. Patients were followed ≥2 years after radiotherapy. Clinical characteristics were assembled and toxicity was recorded using the Common Terminology Criteria (CTCAE) v4.0. No clinical factor was correlated with late radiation toxicity. The γ-H2AX foci decay ratio correlated negatively with toxicity grade, with a significant difference between grad ≥3 and grade 0 patients (p=0.02). A threshold foci decay ratio, determined in our retrospective study, correctly classified 23 of 28 patients with grade ≥3 toxicity (sensitivity 82%) and 9 of 14 patients with grade 0 toxicity (specificity 64%). Induction of homologous recombination (HR) repair genes was reduced with increasing toxicity grade. The difference in fold induction of the HR gene set was most pronounced between grade 0 and grade ≥3 toxicity (p=0.008). Notably, reduced responsiveness of HR repair genes to irradiation and inefficient double strand break repair correlated with severe late radiation toxicity. Using a decay ratio classifier, we correctly classified 82% of patients with grade ≥3 toxicity, suggesting a prognostic biomarker for cancer patients with a genetically enhanced risk for late radiation toxicity to normal tissues after radiotherapy.
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